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Big moats surround Microsoft, Nvidia

Both are at the heart of artificial intelligence developments.

Microsoft and Nvidia are the second and third global companies by market capitalization at $US3.02 trillion and $2.06 trillion respectively.

Both face competition, but both have wide moats and are at the heart of artificial intelligence developments. Here are updates on these stocks.

Microsoft (NDQ: MSFTRecent close $393.41. (All figures in US dollars.)

Background: Microsoft is the world’s largest software company. Its Windows operating system runs on about 90% of the world’s personal computers. Microsoft also owns LinkedIn and markets the Xbox gaming system.

Performance: The shares are up 8.9% year-to-date and 32% in the last 12 months.

Recent developments: Microsoft’s fiscal third-quarter results were impressive, exceeding estimates on the top and bottom lines. Revenue of $61.9 billion grew 17% year-over-year. Net income of $21.9 billion, or $2.94 per share, was up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.

Notably, the Microsoft Cloud segment, called Azure, played a significant role with revenue reaching $35.1 billion – a 23% year-over-year growth. This shows a dominance in cloud services.

A few days after releasing its latest earnings, Microsoft announced it will invest $1.7 billion over the next four years in new cloud and AI infrastructure in Indonesia. 

Discussion & outlook: Microsoft’s momentum is poised to continue as artificial intelligence applications accelerate. An AI software feature called Co-Pilot comes with my MSFT 365 home subscription. This tool generates relevant text, photos, and videos in response to prompts. These are early days. I asked it how it rated Microsoft’s latest results, and it was the one who told me they were impressive.

Dividend: Microsoft’s increased its dividend by 10% with the December, 2023 payment to $3 annually, its 10th consecutive year of increases. The payment yields 0.9% at current prices. It also has an active share repurchase program. 

Nvidia (NDQ: NVDA) Recent close $820. (All figures in US dollars.)

Background: Nvidia is best known for the graphic processor units used in gaming systems, but it is also a leader in the chips used in artificial intelligence (AI) and cloud-based computing. These chips run autonomous robots, self-driving cars, and drones. 

Performance: Year-to-date, the shares are up 65.2%.

Recent developments: Fourth quarter results were released at the end of February and were also impressive. Quarterly revenue of $22.1 billion was a record, 265% higher than the same period a year ago. Earnings per share of $4.93 was 765% higher than a year ago. Full-year revenue of $60.9 billion was also a record, up 126%.

On the strength of that performance and the release of a new high-power processor aimed at the data centre market, Nvidia’s shares hit a high of US$974 in late March. They have since given about 16% of that back.

The new processor puts two squares of silicon in the same space as the company’s previous offering. Nvidia also detailed a new set of software tools to help developers sell artificial-intelligence models more easily to firms that use its technology.

CEO Jensen Huang estimated that companies operating data centres will spend more than $250 billion a year to upgrade them with the latest, fastest chips. He said Nvidia is shifting from selling just chips to complete data centre systems.

Discussion & Outlook: Nvidia’s market share will likely drop as competitors launch new products, but its dominance is not under threat. Like Microsoft, it is at the forefront of a technology in the early stages of adoption.   

Dividend: Nvidia pays a $0.16 annual payment which yields 0.02% at current prices. It also shas an active share buyback program.

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Adam Mayers writes about investing and personal finance. He has been a contributor to the Globe & Mail’s Globe Advisor and is a contributing editor to Gordon Pape's Internet Wealth Builder and Income Investor newsletters. Adam was Business Editor and investment columnist at The Toronto Star and is the author of six books.

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